Friday, February 01, 2008

A Winning Ticket?


Much of the televised analysis following last night’s refreshingly civil and issue-focused Democratic debate between Senators Obama and Clinton centered on the possibility of the two candidates joining forces as running mates. While it is an intriguing possibility, it is likely only if Clinton is the presidential nominee. Obama would be wise to look elsewhere to balance his ticket.

Clinton’s support comes from true-blue liberals, proud feminists, and the traditional Democratic Party establishment—not enough to win in November. Should she capture the nomination, she will desperately need to court the independents, first-time voters, and even Republicans that back Obama. Without him, independents and Republicans will undoubtedly drift toward John McCain, and previously energized newcomers are likely to stay home.

By contrast, if Obama is the nominee, he will probably gain the support of Clinton’s voters automatically. Her base is extremely unlikely to vote Republican, and probably will support any Democratic nominee to prevent a Republican victory. Obama’s biggest perceived weakness is experience, particularly in foreign policy and military affairs. In a running mate, he would look for gravitas and an established track record on military issues. Perhaps a General, a long-serving member of the Senate Armed Services Committee, or even a purple state governor with service experience would fit the bill.

1 comment:

MK said...

I think that VP nominees are always overrated in importance. The Pres picks the Chief of Staff, the staff, the cabinet, and ahem, their spouse. A Clinton/Obama ticket would be no different than Clinton/Bayh, Clinton/Richardson, Clinton/Happ...